Yeah, full on TTT
(Looking a bit shabby here)
Plenty of egos riding there though
I don’t know what the rules are but they’re doing a TTT not a peloton.
Skipper is saying 00:49, sub 03:30, 02:37.
Blu is saying 00:45, 03:49, 02:25…seconds on the clock to make it.
Matthews is saying 00:50, 04:00, 02:40. That’s immense.
Spirig is saying 00:50, 04:19, 02:45 of them all this has to be the most achievable but she’s not a long course athlete so.
I’m not sure a 3:30 TTT will be that much of an effort if they rotate well? People have done solo 100’s in under 3:20, I know they might be traffic assisted and they didn’t have to run a marathon afterwards but at those speeds even the extra 12 miles is only 20 minutes?
As per the graphic above he might get something like a 50% draft benefit.
Hmm, it could be the differences to normal racing that undo them. The lack of familiarity with TTT, the car support, etc.
Pretty sure that’s just a screenshot of TriTalk’s Thursday night crew staring at @tupperware 's saddle in the Zwift TTT
(@jeffb is either back in the start pen, or 2 miles up the road )
Giving you a head start, I like a challenge
temp and air pressure will have big questions on what’s possible, remember even car assisted it was the weather conditions that made the 3:20’s from 3:40 riders.
Am I right in thinking they will just ride at their standard IM power at the back and then run their normal best effort run?
If so isn’t it purely about the bike team making sure they are well enough drilled to make sure that they them at a high enough pace to not drop them?
You draft the swim anyway and you can pretty much just run what you can run already.
Not heard any mention of wattage so far.
I would imagine that they are hoping to ride under their normal IM power so they can run faster
Is that sensible though? How many IMs can actually run much faster marathons, and if so why don’t they do that normally?
I was going to say that @jeffb - a club mate rode a 3:33 100 last weekend
In that mockery video I think I hear Tom mention 310-340 watts while on the front.
I would have thought the front of the train would be pulling more than that then flicking off to the back with Skipper/Blu being the rear gunner doing less than 200
Think the fact they are going for different approaches will be interesting. Skipper’s going to gun the bike more and run a ‘normal’ish IM off it.
Blu’s going to cruise the bike and expect to unleash an insane marathon.
Skipper’s is perhaps safer, closer to a real IM. Blu could be much quicker if he nails it, but it does rely on him being almost ‘stand alone marathon’ ready off the bike.
Blum had outwardly stated that he thinks a 2.25 mara is possible in a normal IM. So I think he’s gonna be confident he can run that off a reduced bike.
How accurate that statement is, time will tell!
I’d love to see Kat nail it. That would be a hell of a year for her!
Knowing Blum’s team they’ll have physiologically tested him running off various bike intensities vs stand alone and will have calibrated.
It will be insane to watch a 2:25 marathon, the splits will look suicidal and waiting mile by mile to see if the explosion comes.
And it’s gonna absolutely chuck it down all day tomorrow, so what a way to end the holidays
Not sure about that, at least for Joe. Even the same IM power should yield a much fresher athlete for the run as they’ll be riding for less than ⅞ the normal duration.
Blu would appear to be adopting more of the approach your outlining tho. Even if he’s sandbagging a bit with the bike predictions, it would seem he’s definitely going for the run focused approach
How many IM athletes have actually run a standalone marathon to know if they can? Not many that I’m aware of. The answer to your second question is pretty obvious…a 3.8km swim and 180km “solo” bike ride beforehand at pretty high intensity!
Well I think the reality is that if they’ve trained their career to run a 2:45 IM run leg, they ain’t gonna go 2:35 without training for it regardless of how “easy” the bike is. Joe has at least been more conservative on running minutes rather than tens of minutes faster.