TT Smackdown 2025

Taper lunch of chips, cheese and burger sauce :joy:

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This question is pretty much impossible for me to answer right now.

Honestly, getting around the whole thing in one piece will feel like a bit of a win for me. Finishing the bike will be great. Heck, even finishing the swim would make me happy right now.

But that’s no fun is it?!

Caveat - covid doesn’t stop me completely in my tracks, and my calf lets me at least get part way round.

I’ll be delighted with:

Swim & T1 - 40 mins
Bike - 2.45
T2 & Run - 2.00

Swim won’t change. Good day may buy me some more bike time back. Run - literally no idea.

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Looking back at this, my swim may be over optimistic but my run pessimistic so things even out.

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:joy:

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What’s the weighting of ā€œsandbagging potentialā€ to actual finish Time?

E.g.

I’m 1*, so does that all me a 25 minute leeway?
Whereas someone with a 5* rating would only get a 5 minute leeway?

Like a handicap, of sorts.

Or, is 3* about bang on.
Whereas 1* is dream world.
5* is Saharan-Esque sandbagging?

Due to a total lack of reliable information on any of the participants, no bookmaker will be offering prices for this event

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Please can we split out the individual times, specifically the swim. Need to see who’s feet I’ll be trying to tap for 1900m :joy: Having a quick skim my optimistic 35mins seems to leave me in no-mans land, a couple predicting 32mins (or 35 with transition) and a few 40mins.

I think maybe @Doonhamer may be the lucky one :wink:

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If you don’t mind stopping & standing up a couple of times as I get over panic attacks :joy:

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I presume it’s a scale of the chances of beating your predicted time. With your 1* it’s seen you’ve been pretty honest and you would be hard pushed to beat that by much, but some of those sandbaggers predicting 5 hours will probably go and smash 4:30 so get 5*.

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I hadn’t looked at it that deeply :slight_smile:

More of - Poet has committed 100% to his best time so no sandbagging on the cards.
Meanwhile Fruity and GB are likely recruiting a sand sculpture to capture them as they cross the line well under predicted times;
image

Mrs MW will try and do race day updates and photos - assuming I’m not having a mental breakdown like at Lakesman!

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Come on now … i need an asterisk, not a 5* sandbag! :rofl:

:face_with_spiral_eyes:

Yeah that’s exactly what I meant to say @BadAsh - thanks :+1:

Ssssh GB - you need to be saving your energy :wink:

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I will in no way achieve them, but I can dream, right?

I’m just super hyped for a TT day out of Yore.
Like the Vit, ADITL or many other events prior to 2011 :+1:t3:

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I did do a turbo today though. Did 35 mins with Coco with a couple of ramp ups. Everything felt a bit weird and ā€˜off’ but not really sure how. HR was mega low initially, and no juice in the legs, but they did warm up. Felt a bit nauseous on the bike, but that seemed to pass.

Don’t feel any worse after the ride. Might try for 45 mins tomorrow.

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Just checked Strava, the last open water swim I have recorded was in 2017. Really, was it THAT long ago?!?! Oh and that was a 400m team sprint (which was only supposed to be 250m) and I did it skins in September. I was frozen, definitely the wrong call in hindsight with the swim being 150m long too.

Better try on the wetsuit! Time to soak it in the bath now!

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Looks nice a nice pod of triafleets coming out in 35ish

Edit: @gingerbongo put you some exclamations marks on as well.

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This was Outlaw half in May.
Swim T1 Bike T2 Run Total
39:19 6:46 2:55:30 7:02 1:50:52 5:39:29
(cocked up both transitions, stopped in the swim to calm down and clear goggles)

I will go with:
Swim + T1 Bike + T2 Run Total
42 2:57 1:51 5:30

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:rofl:

I’m afraid so

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