Sub-3 Marathon Thread

Got it to 38%

Dropped a bit in August with holidays and an illness but it’s roughly where I thought I’d be. 2 big long runs coming up which usually bump it right up. Prognosis is 3.30 and with marathon shape currently at 4.30. At this point I think I’ll pace it at 1.50 first half and try to negative split to get a 3.40 or lower.

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Your vo2max and marathon prediction are off the charts. Got to be to do with the fact your HR stays so low/HR max is quite low.

Now if only you could average 150km per week with a 36km run. Off the olympics you go…

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Paris here I come

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Bingo!

This is guaranteed…right? :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye::stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

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Not sure I have my numbers right but was at 235% at the start of June, have dropped now to a mere 114 :rofl:

That was the residue of a fast marathon/fast half/fast 100k so measured fitness was through the roof. Reality felt slightly different…

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haha - you broke the algorithm!

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All the graphs and numbers look great, but what’s going on behind the scenes?

Eg. predicts a 19.27 5km… despite there being an actual 18.45 at a park run in the mix from a couple of weeks back :man_shrugging:

Edit: thinking about it, this could be fair as my fatigue is higher now than then having started to up the mileage.

nah, they’re just always nonsense!

Like the predictions on Garmin, they do the same. Mine nearly always gives me 5k, 10k, half and mara times slower than stuff i’ve literally just done. Useful as a trending guide, but not an absolute tool.

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@fruit_thief @gingerbongo yeah predictions on runalyse and gramin are both slower than recent times I’ve record. I’m tempted to enter a 10k that’s a week after my marathon. I think my legs will be just about ready :face_with_raised_eyebrow:

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Interestingly just saw that GFA at London next year is sub 3 for M 18-39. Qualifying period is 5th October 2020 to October 3rd 2021.

Obviously a lack of big marathons taken place place but that’s quite a soft time isn’t it?

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it’s been sub 3 since 2019 hasn’t it? and it was sub 3:05 before that? Those look like the same times as pre-pandemic to me and since then the GFA time doesn’t guarantee you entry, it’s the fastest people in the groups too up to the limit of folk.

I’m surprised they didn’t make it November as there’s a lot of marathons next month that people would look to qualify at.

I thought it was sub 2:57 for a ‘21’ GFA entry, and yes the quick guys push the entry time down anyway.

Closing day is this years London date Jeff. Seems like there’s quite a few in October, anyone entered into Manchester etc are out of luck

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Is there science behind the 3:53 time for 45-49 women or just a qwerk of the number of applications they get?

All the other age groups, men & women clock up in 5min increments.

I thought it was 2:50 (or possibly 2:55) when GFA guaranteed entry, and changed when the GFA structure changed around 5 years ago?

Given the change was to reduce numbers I agree it’s soft as a qualifying time. Would expect there to be enough numbers in normal years to push that down a bit?

No idea!

Bit odd that

Amazing what a couple of longer runs can do to the Runalyse output!

VO2 max now up to 63 (apparently), optimum mara 2.36 (yeah right!) with a marathon shape now of 31% witha prognosis of 3.25.

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Nice. Time for a smackdown with Ben Parkes :grin:

:sob:

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Manchester is 10th October so falls in the Window, no?