Dropped a bit in August with holidays and an illness but it’s roughly where I thought I’d be. 2 big long runs coming up which usually bump it right up. Prognosis is 3.30 and with marathon shape currently at 4.30. At this point I think I’ll pace it at 1.50 first half and try to negative split to get a 3.40 or lower.
Like the predictions on Garmin, they do the same. Mine nearly always gives me 5k, 10k, half and mara times slower than stuff i’ve literally just done. Useful as a trending guide, but not an absolute tool.
@fruit_thief@gingerbongo yeah predictions on runalyse and gramin are both slower than recent times I’ve record. I’m tempted to enter a 10k that’s a week after my marathon. I think my legs will be just about ready
it’s been sub 3 since 2019 hasn’t it? and it was sub 3:05 before that? Those look like the same times as pre-pandemic to me and since then the GFA time doesn’t guarantee you entry, it’s the fastest people in the groups too up to the limit of folk.
I thought it was 2:50 (or possibly 2:55) when GFA guaranteed entry, and changed when the GFA structure changed around 5 years ago?
Given the change was to reduce numbers I agree it’s soft as a qualifying time. Would expect there to be enough numbers in normal years to push that down a bit?